Things could get busy in the tropics for the start of the season this week

RALEIGH, NC (WNCN) – The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins this Wednesday, June 1, and it’s possible there’s something to watch for in the Gulf or Caribbean later this week.

The Pacific hurricane season started on May 15th and they already have their first hurricane. Agatha was a Category 2 hurricane when it made landfall on the south coast of western Mexico Monday afternoon.

Now the system will weaken and dissipate over the next few days as it moves inland through Mexico towards the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean.

The National Hurricane Center is now giving the remnants of the system a 50 percent chance of tropical formation in the next five days once it resurfaces above the water in the Atlantic. If that happens and it becomes a named tropical system, it would have a new name. The first name of this year’s Atlantic hurricane season is Alex.

The impact on the United States is very uncertain at this point given the system has so much land and time to traverse, but the long-range computer models show some evolution of the system.

Both the European and American computer models have some sort of tropical system off the southeast coast of the United States by next Monday. The systems would likely move away from the US at this point, but it’s too early to tell for sure what will happen.

It’s important to note that earlier this year, long-range computer models suggested a tropical system would form, only for nothing to happen.

If nothing forms before June 1, it would be the first time in seven years, since 2014, that we haven’t had a preseason storm in the Atlantic. Things could get busy in the tropics for the start of the season this week

Dais Johnston

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