The minority in the House of Representatives could soon become a majority — and Republicans have Gov. Kathy Hochul to thank for at least a small part of that success.
Hochul’s election of former upstate Rep. Antonio Delgado as her replacement lieutenant governor will likely cost Democrats a seat in the House of Representatives in the Aug. 23 special election, claims a new poll released Tuesday.
Republican Dutchess County Executive Marc Molinaro is leading Democrat Ulster County Executive Pat Ryan for Delgado’s vacant 19th congressional district seat, 49.5% to 39.7% with about 11% tied, according to the Triton Polling & Research poll running for conducted by the Freedom Council USA.
A poll released six weeks ago for the same independent, right-wing GOP firm, Freedom Council USA, also found Molinaro topping Ryan among the likely voters at 51.6% to 38.4%.
The Freedom Council USA endorsed Molinaro, who was the 2018 GOP nominee for governor.
The latest poll polled 407 likely voters from July 26-28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.85 percentage points.
“We expect Marc Molinaro to be the kind of congressman New Yorkers need in Washington,” said a spokesman for the Freedom Council USA.
But the encouraging poll came ahead of fresh controversy over Molinaro’s vehicle usage.
The Republican nominee is reportedly fighting with the help of a Jeep Grand Cherokee leased from supporter Sean Mahone, which was not included in required reports to the Federal Elections Commission, Hudson Valley 360 reported this week.
Molinaro has also been criticized in recent days for his efforts as district manager to lease a luxury black 2021 Chevrolet Tahoe for $1,347.10 a month, according to an earlier report by the local news outlet.
“Marc Molinaro’s blatant misuse of taxpayers’ hard-earned money for his own personal gain is a betrayal of the trust voters have placed in him,” Ryan said in a press release.
A Molinaro campaign spokesman, Chris Formisano, fired back by blaming Ryan for the riot.
“The fact is this is off-topic and a desperate attempt by our adversary to talk about anything but the important issues. Ryan will do anything just so he doesn’t have to talk about the record inflation his party is responsible for or the public safety crisis he and his allies have created as a result of cashless bail and discovery reform,” Formisano said in one Explanation .
A win against Ryan in the special election would be a sign of the collateral cost of political events outside the Hudson Valley.
Hochul was forced to replace her first choice for No. 2, Brian Benjamin, after he was indicted on federal corruption charges that followed media reports of alleged ethical issues that took place before her appointment of him as LG.
The botched review of Benjamin’s appointment is seen as one of Hochul’s biggest stumbling blocks since replacing Andrew Cuomo, who resigned as governor a year ago amid threats of impeachment amid a sexual harassment scandal.
The special election will be held on August 23 under the current guidelines for the 19th congressional district.
The current 19th CD covers much of the Hudson Valley, including Dutchess, Ulster and Columbia counties and parts of the Catskills.
But the victor must run for the 19th congressional district in this fall’s general election under revised, court-ordered constituencies.
The judges overturned the House cards previously drawn by Democrats as unconstitutional gerrymandering, which Republican critics dubbed “Hochulmander” because Gov. Hochul authorized them.
Republicans are on track to win a clear 230-seat majority in the House of Representatives this November, according to the CBS News Battleground Tracker model released Sunday.
The net gain of 19 seats for the Republicans would be far greater than the seven additional seats the GOP needs to secure a 218-seat majority. The model has a margin of error of 12 seats, which would leave Republicans that majority even at the bottom end.
https://nypost.com/2022/08/02/marc-molinaro-leads-pat-ryan-in-ny-congressional-race-poll/ Marc Molinaro Leads Pat Ryan in Race for Congress in New York: Poll