Rep. Jerry Nadler is nearly 20 points ahead of rival Rep. Carolyn Maloney in the Democratic primary to represent the newly drawn 12th congressional district, according to a new Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill poll released Thursday.
Among Democrats most likely to vote or who had already voted, Nadler had 43% support, compared to 24% for Maloney and 14% for attorney Suraj Patel. Nadler received an absolute majority when undecided voters voiced their leanings, receiving 51% support, compared to 29% for Maloney and 19% for Patel.
The poll represents an amazing turnaround since May, when the same poll found Maloney leading Nadler by 10 points.
“In the final week of the primary, Nadler solidified his support base, Patel gained traction, while Maloney lost her female voter base,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement.
“In May, Maloney led Nadler by 15 points in the women’s primary, which narrowed to a two-point lead in early August, and now, in the final week of the primary, Maloney is losing the women’s primary by 12 points to Nadler,” Kimball added added.
Nadler led Maloney by nine points in the Aug. 5 Emerson poll, and Thursday’s poll showed him gaining three percentage points over Maloney — who saw her support dwindle seven points.
Running roughly from 96th Street to 14th Street, the new precinct includes Nadler’s and Maloney’s longstanding power bases on Manhattan’s west and east sides, respectively.
The chairman of the House Judiciary Committee has also received a boost from Patel, who has lashed out at Maloney over issues including her controversial earlier comments on vaccinations in his third straight primary against the 76-year-old.
The latest poll shows President Biden with a 79% approval rating in the district, which he won in 2020 by 72 points ahead of ex-President Donald Trump, according to an analysis by CUNY Mapping Services.
Both Nadler and Maloney were upset by comments at a recent debate where Nadler said it was “too early to say” whether Biden should run for a second term — while Maloney said she doesn’t think Biden will run again would.
However, a majority of voters (51%) said the rejection of a candidate against a second Biden term did not affect their vote in Congress.
The Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill poll polled 895 Democrats who were likely to vote in the primary or had already voted. It has an error rate of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
https://nypost.com/2022/08/18/jerry-nadler-up-big-on-carolyn-maloney-suraj-patel-in-last-days-of-ny-primary/ Jerry Nadler brought out Carolyn Maloney, Suraj Patel, big in the last days of elementary school in New York