First look: Independence Day weekend forecast

FOX Weather forecasters will track heat and storms across the country over the weekend of July 4th and America’s 246th birthday.

Celebrations are planned coast-to-coast and, as is usual in summer, some viewers will have to dodge a few showers and thunderstorms between Friday and Independence Day.

Here is the forecast for each region.

Forecast Northeast

The weather on Friday looks good, but it will be quite warm. For example, the maximum temperature in New York City will be around 91 degrees. These warm temperatures are also expected across the region and in New England.

Boston is expected to hit nearly 93 degrees in the afternoon hours, with the possibility of storms in the evening.

Saturday looks stormy in parts of the Northeast, particularly from Pennsylvania and New Jersey to southern New England.

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has highlighted an area stretching from Philadelphia and eastern Pennsylvania through New York City, Hartford, Providence and Boston as having the highest probability of severe weather.

Since most people celebrate the holiday over the weekend, it’s important to know how to stay safe when a severe weather threatens.

One of the most important things – have a severe weather safety plan. Check the FOX Weather app to see if there are any storms in the forecast. If so, make sure you have this plan ready in case of lightning, hail, or a tornado.

Warm temperatures will prevail in the northeast on Friday.
Warm temperatures will prevail in the northeast on Friday.
FOX weather

For your long-term summer plans, let FOX FutureView track and update the forecast for you. Add your events like summer BBQs, sporting events and vacations in the app. Turn on notifications and FOX FutureView will notify you of forecast changes.

Conditions are expected to clear up by Sunday, with places like New York City experiencing high temperatures in the 80s.

Computer forecasting models show that the 4th of July could be quite pleasant in the region after a stormy start to the weekend.

High temperatures will make it into the 80s but humidity levels and dew points should be more comfortable thanks to a cold front.

Severe storms are likely over a large section of the Northeast from Philadelphia to Boston.
Severe storms are likely over a large section of the Northeast from Philadelphia to Boston.
FOX weather

The forecast calls for cities along the Interstate 95 corridor from Washington to Boston to hit the upper 80s Monday afternoon before settling into the lower 80s by the start of fireworks shows.

The 46th Annual Macy’s Fireworks Show on July 4 in New York City is expected to begin at approximately 9:25 p.m. under partly cloudy skies.

Forecast Southeast

Temperatures in the Southeast will generally be in the 80s and 90s beginning Friday and through the bank holiday weekend, including Independence Day.

Atlanta is likely to see a high temperature of about 84 degrees on Friday, then temperatures will rise to about 88 degrees on Saturday and rise to 90 degrees on Sunday and 91 degrees on July 4th.

Miami will also experience high temperatures nearing 90 degrees over the weekend and Independence Day vacation.

The southeast will see showers and thunderstorms throughout the weekend.
The southeast will see showers and thunderstorms throughout the weekend.
FOX weather

The combination of lots of humidity, warm temperatures and at least one cold front could trigger numerous showers and thunderstorms each day from Friday through Monday.

While it’s too early to say which cities will see the bulk of the rain, communities in the Tennessee Valley, mid-Atlantic and Gulf Coast areas could see rain on July 4th.

Where rain falls, the precipitation has a cooling effect and provides some relief from the summer heat.

If the Southeast is included in your destination plans, be sure to download the FOX Weather app to track the storms on our 3D mobile radar.

Forecast for the Midwest

It could come down to location, location, location in the Midwest, with the eastern parts of the region seeing chances of rain and the southwestern part seeing heat.

Temperatures will generally be in the 80s in places like Fargo, North Dakota and Chicago on Friday. Kansas City, Missouri will hit nearly 90 degrees in mostly cloudy conditions.

Rain and thunderstorms are expected across the Midwest on Saturday.
Rain and thunderstorms are expected across the Midwest on Saturday.
FOX weather

Rain and thunderstorms are expected in Fargo on Saturday, which will result in a maximum temperature of around 80 degrees. Sunday will have an equal chance of showers and storms, while temperatures drop to around 78 degrees on Independence Day.

Temperatures will rise in Kansas City throughout the weekend with a chance of seeing thunderstorms as well. The high temperature in Kansas City is about 82 degrees on Saturday, 90 degrees on Sunday and 95 degrees on July 4th.

A series of cold fronts over the Midwest will help create these showers and thunderstorms.

Expect rain on Independence Day in major cities like Cincinnati, Chicago, and St. Louis.

At the moment there is too much uncertainty to say when the rain will stop, but viewers might want to pack a poncho or umbrella in case the wet weather disrupts the celebrations.

Meteorologists say the biggest concern will be in the plains for temperatures that will be well above average. Highs could be more than 10 degrees above average, which could mean temperatures could hit the 90s and even 100s.

west prognosis

Friday seems to be the pick of the weekend in the west. Seattle will experience a high temperature of around 76 degrees in mostly sunny conditions, however some cloud will gather as a storm system approaches.

Reno, Nevada will have plenty of sunshine and a high temperature of around 90 degrees. Temperatures of around 80 degrees are expected in southern Los Angeles.

Temperatures will be below average in most regions over the weekend and into Independence Day due to a storm system over the Pacific Northwest.

Temperatures in Seattle will drop from a high of 73 degrees on Saturday to 67 degrees on Sunday and 68 degrees on July 4th.

The west coast will enjoy moderately warm temperatures on Sunday.
The west coast will enjoy moderately warm temperatures on Sunday.
FOX weather

Los Angeles will also have temperatures in the 70s throughout the weekend. Saturday’s high will be around 78 degrees, falling back to 74 degrees on Sunday before rising slightly to 75 degrees on Independence Day.

Below average temperatures make for great weather for parades and fireworks throughout much of Oregon, California and Nevada on the 4th of July.

An average high for the 4th of July is typically 92 degrees in Reno and 81 in Los Angeles, leaving much of the West with temperatures between 5 and 15 degrees below average.

There is a chance of isolated showers in the Pacific Northwest, northern Rocky Mountains and Four Corners region.

The southwest is in the monsoon season, meaning an influx of moisture can bring heavy rains and flash floods.

For areas that have had no recent rain and face a high risk of fire, communities have banned fireworks and are encouraging families to attend drone shows. First look: Independence Day weekend forecast


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