The Buccaneers host Bills in the only Sunday card game that divides two teams with a winning record against each other. Buffalo needs the win to both keep pace in the AFC East race and keep a spot, while Tampa Bay hopes to complete the NFC South title later in the day. This is arguably the best game of the day and the number that attracts a lot of betting action.
Let’s take a look at the best props options for Bills vs. Buccaneers for this important NFL Week 14 game.
Bills vs. Bucs . Player Props Choice
Josh Allen passes 2.5 touchdowns
If we’ve learned anything over the past few seasons, it’s that running football with Tampa Bay has been largely a fruitless venture. The Bucs finished first for the previous two seasons and have held that spot again throughout much of this campaign. Much of that also correlates with the types of scores the team allows.
Only eight of the 29 offensive touches the Buccaneers have allowed in 2021 were made, with only six of those scored by running backwards. In fact, Tampa has allowed four points behind this season, two-thirds of which were scored on the ground by running backwards.
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Combine that with the fact that Buffalo is a best average racing team and we expect a lot of points scored in this game, owner of this week’s highest posted totals and logical derivative Become Buffalo creating his score through the game pass. Josh Allen has many likely threats at the wide receiver, the NFL’s overall leader in getting touchdowns between tight ends and a running room behind that has captured three touchdowns . This may prove too much for a Tampa Bay defense that ranks only 20th in passes and 17th in points per game allowed.
– Billy Heyen (@BillyHeyen) December 7, 2021
Allen has made three or more touchdowns this season, throwing eight touchdowns in the three games Buffalo played for the highest total. He’s also counted multiple passes in all but three games, with one of those blunders apparently coming last Monday night against New England. After two other games where Allen failed to throw more than one touchdown, Buffalo responded by scoring five touchdowns on the next hit. If we see a similar reaction here and if Tampa stays true to his stingy defensive reputation, Allen is likely to go through at least three points in this game.
Leonard Fournette scored more than 2 touchdowns
Obviously, you could simplify this claim by playing Leonard Fournette as an anytime touchdown scorer and still return essentially even money. However, we are looking for big payday with this prop, as it can be found with odds around +440, depending on where you shop. Again, based on posted totals, this game promises to be a back and forth game of scores. And, based on Tampa’s recent touchdown spreads, Fournette makes a lot of sense to catch some of those.
For starters, the Bucs hit a high NFL average of 31.4 points per game during the season, soaring to 38.4 points per home game, which is also a league best. Among those glittering numbers is Fournette, who rose to ninth in the league with seven hasty touchdowns, adding two more via the pass. That nine-point total puts him fifth among active NFL supporters.
Fournette was also reliant on late game, averaging more than 20 touchdowns a game in the team’s last four outings, including at least six catches in each of those games. He’s scored five touchdowns in his last two games and will be up against a Buffalo defence that’s softer to counter runs than passes.
Buffalo are just 12th this season, while being the best passing defense in the league. That’s down to the types of down touches the Bills allow, with only six out of 20 touchdowns credited to the receiver and tight ends. The majority of the points the Bills allowed came from points, and nine of those were scored by running backwards. In fact, the opposing defenders also got the score twice against Buffalo.
– NFL (@NFL) December 5, 2021
Derrick Henry has had three encounters with the Bills this season, of which Jonathan Taylor scored five as Buffalo hosted Indianapolis. Those are the only two defenders the Bills have faced more touchdowns this season than Fournette. That’s why he can have a monster game here.
Stefon Diggs Scorer touches down all the time
As discussed before, it was extremely difficult to penetrate Tampa Bay’s defence. In fact, 72.4% of offensive touches scored against the Bucs were unsuccessful. More than half of that went to broad receivers, and we’re looking at one of the league’s best to join that group here.
Only three teams have had as many head-to-head goals against Tampa Bay this season. However, all three of those teams, like Buffalo, are ranked in the top 11 in the NFL in terms of total yards per game. Dallas comes out on top in that category, with the Rams sixth and the Colts 11th. Those three teams have produced eight of the 11 touchdowns thrown to the receiver for the Bills in 2021. It’s hardly a coincidence that the three That match also saw three of the four biggest posted totals for Tampa in 2021, with all three games generating at least 58 totals, opponents taking at least 29 points each.
Josh Allen ➡️ Stefon Diggs ➡️ TD
– ESPN (@espn) November 26, 2021
You can even toss those encouraging stats aside and at the end of the day you’re still supporting an elite weapon in the search for pay, something Stefon Diggs can do at any moment in any match against any opponent. A bit of an angle, the guy caught four of seven goals in that mess on Monday night when only 17 passes were completed by both teams combined.
Diggs leads the NFL with 147 catches and 1846 yards in 2020 and is in the top 10 in both categories again this season. He also had 10 touchdowns last season, the league’s 10th best, and has had seven this season, ranking ninth on the list.
Before the weather-stricken game against the Patriots, Diggs had scored in three consecutive opening games and five of the team’s last six, counting six of his seven points in that span. It’s almost impossible to imagine this game following the bookmakers’ scenario without Diggs being part of the scoring.
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https://elitesportsny.com/2021/12/12/the-3-best-bills-vs-bucs-player-props/ 3 best props compared to players Bucs