By Ariel Edwards-Levy | CNN
Most Americans oppose reversing the Roe versus Wade precedent by the Supreme Court, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS, with a majority saying that if the decision is vacated, they would like to see the state. make it easier to move forward with abortion laws.
Only 30% of Americans say they would like to see the Supreme Court overturn the Roe vs. Wade, with 69% disapproving – a finding largely consistent with other recent polls and with historical trends. In a trio of surveys conducted last fall by various pollsters, the odds in favor of overturning Roe vs. Wade is between 20% and 31%, depending on the exact framework of the question. And in a CNN poll from 1989, the percentage of the public that favors Roe completely overturned has never risen above 36%.
Fifty-nine percent of Americans say that if Roe and Wade were overturned, they would prefer their state to make legislation more permissive than restrictive on abortion, a preference contrary to most predictions that makes abortion abortion can happen. restricted or prohibited in the areas where they live. Another 40% say they want their state to put in place more restrictive laws.
Saturday marks the 49th anniversary of the Supreme Court decision Roe vs. Wade, decided to establish the constitutional right to abortion, at least during the first trimester of pregnancy. Six out of 10 Americans, including 68% of women, say they personally know someone who has had an abortion.
The precedent set by the decision could be overturned by the Court’s upcoming decision in a case surrounding abortion law in Mississippi. If so, access to abortion could be banned or restricted in many Republican-led states around the country.
But polls show few would support that outcome if the precedent falls. Only 20% of Americans want to see their state ban abortion outright if Roe is overturned, and 20% want to see their state restrict, but not ban, abortion. On the other hand, 52% of the public said in a CNN poll that they would like to see their state become a “safe haven” for women who want an abortion but can’t get them home, with 7 Another % support more than the law allows but do not want their state to become a “safe haven”.
However, expectations break the other way. Nearly a quarter of Americans, 23%, say they think it is likely that abortion will be outright banned in their area if Roe is exposed, with 32% predicting that abortion will become difficult. more difficult and 14% think there will be no. variation in the availability of abortion methods. Another 30% are unsure how their area might be affected.
Current objections to overturning the Court’s decision on Roe include a majority of genders, races, generations, and education levels. The bigger divide is partisan and ideological: 86% of Democrats and 89% of liberals say they don’t want to see Roe ousted, compared with 44% of Republicans and 33% of party members. conservative. Partisanship seems to be more closely associated with views on Roe than gender: Similar proportions of Democratic women (87%) and Democratic men (85%) oppose subversion Roe. By comparison, 47% of Republican women and 43% of Republican men oppose.
The possibility of ending the precedent Roe vs. Wade evokes stronger negative feelings than positive, signaling a possible magnitude gap in this regard. About a third of Americans, 35%, say they would be angry if Roe was fully debunked, with another 25% saying they wouldn’t be pleased. For comparison, only 12% would be satisfied and 14% satisfied. Another 14% said they wouldn’t care either way.
About half of Democrats, including 58% of Democrats younger than 45, said they would be angry. In contrast, 29% of Republicans said they would be satisfied with the results.
Relatively few Americans say they plan to make election decisions based solely on abortion. 20% of Americans say they will only vote for candidates who share their views on abortion, down from 30% in 2019. Another 59% now say they consider it one of many important factors. important and 21% say they don’t see it as a big deal. The number of Americans who say they are using the problem as a kneeling test is relatively low both among those who favor Roe overturning (25 percent) and those who don’t want to see it flipped (18 percent).
Americans’ opinions about the legality of abortion are not the same as their feelings about what conventional abortion should be. Most Americans say, 56% to 44%, that they think it would be a good thing to reduce the number of abortions in the US. A 90% majority in favor of Roe’s reversal said it would be a good thing, as did 41% of those who did not want Roe to be overturned. But both Republicans and Democrats over 45 were more likely than younger people in their respective parties to say it would be a good thing to reduce the number of abortions performed.
The CNN poll was conducted January 13-18 by SSRS among a random national sample of 1,000 adults surveyed online after being recruited using probability-based methods. Results for the entire sample have a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points.
https://www.mercurynews.com/2022/01/21/poll-as-roe-teeters-most-americans-oppose-overturning-it/ When Roe teeters, most Americans oppose turning it upside down