Sharp betting predictions for MLB Monday: Giants and Unders

Although Monday offers bettors a limited range of options, three games are catching the attention of the betting community.

How is this distinguished? The Action Network PRO Report identifies five factors – hot money, big money, PRO systems, model advantages and expert tips – to help differentiate certain games from others available.

Today’s report has identified one MLB side and two MLB totals that trigger a majority of the above factors. So without further ado, here are the markets that identify respectable bettors.

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Tip #1 – San Francisco Giants Moneyline (-150) vs. San Diego Padres

Both teams are off to a positive start after their respective opening streaks, but today’s report likes the Giants as home favorites.

We’ve seen sharp action from the hosts, who are half a game behind the Padres in the NL West. In addition, a lot of money was also shown for the Giants. As of this writing, it has received 66 percent of all moneyline bets, but 84 percent of all handles. That’s the second-largest percentage of grabs in today’s 11-game MLB roster.

Finally, a top MLB expert from Action Network San Francisco is backing today, rounding out the three signals in favor of the 2014 World Series champion. You are currently -150 at BetMGM.

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Pick #2 – Oakland A’s/Tampa Bay Rays under 9 runs -105 (DraftKings)

This total shows a significant percentage variation and is the first of three to trigger the “Big Money” signal.

At the time of writing, the under has only received 36 percent of all bets, but at the same time has received 80 percent of the handle. That’s the second-biggest money percentage on today’s map, and the second-biggest percentage discrepancy across the list of 11 games.

In addition, model projections from the action network suggest that this sum is slightly too high. According to our MLB Power Ratings, the total between these two teams should be closer to 7.9 runs, giving bettors about a half run in value.

Finally, an Action Network MLB expert backs the under tonight, matching three out of five signals. DraftKings set the nine-run line at -105.

Jose Trevino
Jose Trevino hits a single during the Yankees’ loss to the Red Sox.
USA TODAY sports

Tip #3 – New York Yankees/Toronto Blue Jays under 9 runs

The Blue Jays clinched that total in two of three against Rangers to open the season, but veteran bettors are aiming for an under here.

We have tracked sharp action on the under which has remained stable at the opening number since the market opened. In addition, big money has been shown for the Unders, who have received just 18 percent of all bets. However, it also retained 70 percent of grip, the largest percentage discrepancy on the board.

Additionally, an Action Network PRO system further supports the case for an under tonight. The Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams system, which targets an under between two teams with at least a 50 percent win percentage and a wagering percentage between 0 and 35 percent, has a 55 percent win percentage and a seven percent return on investment. Sharp betting predictions for MLB Monday: Giants and Unders


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