Emerson poll shows Hochul ahead of Zeldin by double digits

An overwhelming majority of New Yorkers — 61% — blame bail reform for the rise in crime, according to an Emerson College/Pix11/The Hill poll released Friday, which found Gov. Kathy Hochul still far ahead of Republican challenger Lee Zeldin lies.

Zeldin has campaigned heavily against bail reform, which 61% of New York voters in the poll believe has increased crime, compared to 11% who say bail reform has reduced crime.

Meanwhile, 27% of respondents said the controversial laws had not affected crime rates.

“You’ve heard [Mayor Eric Adams] We’re talking about how we have to stop, so he can do his job, so law enforcement can do theirs, so law-abiding New Yorkers can live safe, secure and free in New York City, what is the law, what is the policy of this state, to provide for catch, release, retake,” Zeldin said at a campaign stop.

The GOP standard-bearer has joined Adams in calling for a special session of the state legislature to enact changes to the new legislation aimed at keeping suspected repeat offenders behind bars while they await trial for a growing list of alleged offenses.

Hochul has ruled out bail reform changes before the Nov. 8 election against Zeldin.

Overall, the poll showed that Hochul leads Zeldin by 50% to 35%.

“There are strong racial disparities in the gubernatorial election — Governor Hochul has a majority of the vote among Hispanic voters at 59% and among black voters at 72%, while white voters are evenly split between Hochul and Zeldin at 44% each,” says Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said about the poll.

The latest Emerson poll shows Hochul at 50% and Zeldin at 30%.
The latest Emerson poll shows Hochul at 50% and Zeldin at 30%.

And a slim majority of respondents — 52% — said they believe people fired for turning down COVID-19 mandates, backed by Democratic polls like Hochul and Adams, should get their jobs back, a An idea that Zeldin also championed.

But voters appear to have less in common with the pro-life Zeldin on abortion rights, with 80% of voters supporting allowing abortions in the third trimester of pregnancy “when there is a risk to the mother’s life,” according to the poll “.

A total of 30% think third trimester abortions should “always be allowed”, while 20% think it shouldn’t be allowed at all during this time.

Hochul has attacked Zeldin for being too extreme on issues like gun rights and abortion following controversial decisions by the US Supreme Court this summer.

The “economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)” was the top issue for 38% of voters who responded to the poll conducted between September 4th and 6th, with abortion rights in second place at 14% , which was the case, a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points.

Crime was a distant fifth place at 7%, compared with 10% for health care, 9% for gun violence and 5% more who say immigration issues are on their minds most, less than two months before the final votes are cast.

“Among voters under 35, health care is the number one issue, while voters over 35 agree the economy is the number one issue,” Kimball said in the release.

The poll is the latest to show Zeldin down in double digits ahead of the Nov. 8 election, although some polls have shown him in single digits, with Hochul having one average lead of 13 points among six polls conducted since early August.

President Biden had a 52% approval rating in the poll, which showed he would beat ex-President Donald Trump 53% to 38% in a hypothetical rematch in 2024.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has an even bigger lead over former Newsmax host Joe Pinion — 55% to 31% — as the GOP challenger continued his efforts to face the Brooklyn powerbroker on Friday.

“He’s playing Duck and Cover somewhere. We need the press to demand that there be debates. People deserve to hear where they stand on these issues,” Pinion said at the Bronx news conference on Friday.

The wide support in New York City explains their lead, though Zeldin, a Long Islander native, in previous polls in the surrounding suburbs and upstate compared to Hochul, a Buffalo native who replaced the disgraced ex-governor in polls had figured out by a single digit margin. Andrew Cuomo last year.

The unexpected governor has amassed millions in cash benefits over Zeldin and secured alliances with powerful labor groups ahead of a landslide win in the Democratic primary in June.

While polls now show her big, that would change if the incumbent Democrat only said where and when she will face her Republican opponent, according to Zeldin.

“It is important to note that Governor Hochul has still not accepted debate requests. Here we are too. I wish I could report to you that the governor has finally agreed to a debate. She hasn’t accepted any of the debate requests yet. I accepted the first two,” Zeldin said on Friday.

“Today’s poll reiterates what every credible public poll to date has shown: Zeldin has no connection with New York values ​​and voters will resolutely reject his extremism in November,” Hochul campaign spokesman Jerrel Harvey said in a statement. Emerson poll shows Hochul ahead of Zeldin by double digits


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